15* AL Friday Night Line Mistake on Houston Astros +152
Houston vs. Minnesota,
08/02/2013 20:10 EDT,
Score: 3 - 4
Money Line: +152 Houston
The Houston Astros are showing solid value as a big road underdog to the Minnesota Twins tonight. Minnesota (45-60) should not be this heavily favored against anyone.
Houston rookie Jarred Cosart is getting overlooked once again tonight. This guy has been sensational since coming into the league in early July, going 1-0 with a 0.86 ERA and 1.143 WHIP over three starts. He has allowed just two earned runs and 13 hits in 21 innings.
Sam Deduno has been one of Minnesota's better starters this year, but he's clearly being overvalued in this one. Deduno has gone 7-4 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.271 WHIP in 12 starts this season.
This play falls into a system that is 31-11 (73.8%) over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home teams (MINNESOTA) - poor AL offensive team (=5.00), after a loss by 4 runs or more. Take the Astros Friday.