4* Heavy Hitter on Milwaukee Brewers

4* Heavy Hitter on Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee vs. Arizona, 07/14/2013 16:10 EDT, Score: 5 - 1

Money Line: +150 Milwaukee

Sportsbook: Bovada

Result: Win

There is a lot of value on Milwaukee today when they face an Arizona team that has a .217 batting average over their past seven games. Milwaukee has excelled when facing a right handed starter posting a .260 team batting average and scoring 4.2 runs per game in those 59 games. They are facing a struggling Ian Kennedy today and I expect them to send him to the dugout very early on.

Kennedy has a 5.82 ERA in his last three starts and a 1.706 WHIP. He is walking a batter every other inning with nine walks in 17 innings pitched. Wily Peralta has been on fire recently with a 1.40 ERA in his last three starts.

The Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Kennedy's last five starts pitching on just four days of rest and they are 1-5 in his last six starts overall. This matchup also falls into a system to play on road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher like Milwaukee when they are hitting .255 to .269 as a team with a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season and they are facing a below average starting pitcher whose has a 5.20 to 5.70 ERA in the National League. This system has a 47-27 (64%) record.

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