3* Total Annihilator on Red Sox/A's OVER 7.5
Boston vs. Oakland,
07/12/2013 22:05 EDT,
Score: 4 - 2
Total: -114/+7½ Over
The total on this game has been set far too low. Over their past seven games, the Red Sox have a .319 batting average and they are scoring 6.7 runs per game. They are up against an Oakland team that is at their best against right handed starters, scoring 4.8 runs per game.
John Lackey is 2-5 on the road this season and has given up 56 hits and 9 home runs in those nine games. For Oakland, Jarrod Parker is one of the few pitchers in the league that performs worse at home than he does on the road. His ERA at home is 4.53, and since he is up against this red hot Boston offense I expect to see him allow a lot of early runs.
Boston has gone over the total in their last five games against a team with a winning record. They also have a 4-0 record in favor of the over in their last four games overall. Oakland is also trending towards the over at a rate of 5-1 in their last six games following a day off.