THURSDAY'S FREE MLB PICK - Baltimore Orioles -123

THURSDAY'S FREE MLB PICK - Baltimore Orioles -123

Cleveland vs. Baltimore, 06/27/2013 19:05 EDT, Score: 3 - 7

Money Line: -123 Baltimore

Sportsbook: Pinnacle

Result: Win

THURSDAY'S FREE MLB PICK - Baltimore Orioles -123

Baltimore is going to be highly motivated to get a split at home in the series after losing two of the first three to the Indians. With Miguel Gonzalez on the mound they have to like their chances. Baltimore is a perfect 6-0 this season when Gonzalez takes the mound and 10-2 over the last two seasons.

Gonzalez has done an excellent job of keeping the Orioles in the game. He's allowed 3 or fewer earned runs in seven of his last eight starts. In his only start against the Indians, he allowed just two earned runs over 6 and 2/3 innings in a 10-2 Orioles victory.

Even with last nights win the Indians are still 6-games under .500 on the road. Offensively the Indians come in averaging just 4.6 runs/game, which is a key number for this game. Gonzalez is 13-6 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game.

Thursday is travel day in the MLB and some teams enter these games differently. Baltimore has a strong history of playing well. They are 19-8 on Thursday over the last two seasons. Adding even more value is the fact that the Indians are a dismal 1-8 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +125 in 2013. There's clear value on Baltimore here as a small home favorite. BET THE ORIOLES!

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