7* NBA Finals Total of the Year on Heat/Spurs Under 188

7* NBA Finals Total of the Year on Heat/Spurs Under 188

Miami vs. San Antonio, 06/16/2013 20:00 EDT, Score: 104 - 114

Total: -110/+188 Under

Sportsbook: JustBet

Result: Loss

7* NBA Finals Total of the Year on Heat/Spurs Under 188
The Key: I'm confident both teams will bring the "D" in this all-important Game 5. San Antonio knows it's not going to beat the Heat if it allows them to shoot 52.9% like it did in Game 4. The Spurs will tighten the screws defensively. I also expect them to do a much better job of taking care of the rock. San Antonio had 18 turnovers in Game 4. Those turnovers led to a lot of easy opportunities for Miami. If the Spurs cut down on the giveaways, they can keep the Heat out of transition offense. The Spurs hit 8 3-pointers in Game 4, but Miami did a much better job of chasing shooters off the 3-point line. I expect it to do an even better job in Game 5. The Heat made just 4 3-point shots in Game 4 and took just 12. I believe it will look to attack the basket again in Game 5, which bodes well for us because the 3-point shot can spoil the under. There is also a great amount of history on our side. Plays on the under on all teams in the NBA Finals when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points are 50-16 since 1996. In addition, plays under on all #1 seeds in the NBA Finals (Miami in this case) when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points are 24-5 since 1996. The defensive intensity of both teams will be at its height in Game 5, and this one should come in under the total as a result. Take the Under.


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