5* No Limit Game of the Month on Colorado Rockies
Arizona vs. Colorado,
05/21/2013 20:40 EDT,
Score: 4 - 5
Money Line: -120 Colorado
There is a lot of value in this line when the Rockies send Jhoulys Chacin to the mound today. Chacin is coming off a poor performance against San Francisco but this is still the same pitcher that has allowed only 1 home run all season. That is an impressive feat, especially when you consider his home ball park is one of the most hitter friendly stadiums in the league.
Chacin also has a strong history of success when throwing against Arizona. He has a 2.54 career ERA against the Diamondbacks and a 4-2 record. He has faced them once this season posting a 6.3 inning performance in which he allowed no earned runs and gave up only 3 hits.
The Rockies have performed well in the favorite position posting a 17-4 record against the money line. They are 5-1 in Chacin’s last 6 starts as a favorite and 6-1 in their last 7 games after allowing 5 runs or more in the previous game. You should always play against road underdogs like Arizona when they are allowing .35 stolen bases per game or less and coming off 6 straight games allowing 4 runs or less. This system is 51-15 (77%) against the money line.