4* NBA on TNT SMASH
Boston vs. Orlando,
01/26/2012 20:00 EDT,
Score: 91 - 83
Point Spread: -8½/-103 Orlando
4* NBA on TNT SMASH on Magic -8.5
This game is all about revenge for the Magic, who were embarrassed with a 31-point loss in Boston Monday. The Magic showed their disgust with that performance Tuesday when they crushed Indiana 102-83. Now, they get a chance to pay back the Celtics, and I don't expect them to squander the opportunity.
Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out to avenge a road loss to an opponent, provided that foe is coming off a home win or 20 points or more, are 35-12 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation are winning by an average of 10.9 points.
It is also worth noting that Boston is just 1-10 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Plus, the home team is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 in this series. We'll lay the points.