4* Vegas Insider on New York Yankees
Toronto vs. NY Yankees,
05/17/2013 19:05 EDT,
Score: 0 - 5
Money Line: -137 NY Yankees
This matchup falls into a system to play against road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 like Toronto when they have a .260 batting average or worse and when they are playing against an excellent starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better and an average bullpen with an ERA of 3.75 to 4.50 on the season. This system is 45-11 (80%) over the last 5 seasons.
The Yankees have owned Toronto over the years going 18-4 against them over the last 3 seasons and going 6-1 against them this season. Today’s matchup looks like another one that gives the Yankees a huge advantage with Hiroki Kuroda facing off against Mark Buehrle.
Buehrle has struggled on the road this season posting a 7.15 ERA in four starts. Kuroda has a 5-2 record overall and a 2.31 ERA. In Kuroda’s last three starts he has posted a 1.66 ERA and 1.061 WHIP. With such a huge advantage at the starting pitcher position this game should end in favor of New York.