4* NBA ULTIMATE ROAD WARRIOR
Milwaukee vs. Houston,
01/25/2012 20:00 EDT,
Score: 105 - 99
Point Spread: +4/-105 Milwaukee
The Bucks have quietly started to turn things around, and I think they are showing some real solid value as a 4-point underdog at Houston. Milwaukee lost at home to Atlanta 92-97 on Monday, but prior to that they won back-to-back road games against the Knicks and Heat.
The Rockets come into this game riding a 7-game winning streak, and have covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games. To no surprise the public has jumped all over the Rockets tonight. While it might seem like the smart play, I believe oddsmakers have set this line low because they think Milwaukee has a great shot at winning this game outright.
Milwaukee is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 3 seasons and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5, while the Rockets are just 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5. BET THE BUCKS!