25* NBA Opening Round TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Celtics/Knicks UNDER 191
Boston vs. New York,
04/20/2013 15:00 EDT,
Score: 78 - 85
Total: -110/+191 Under
The books have set the bar too high in this Game 1 showdown between the Boston Celtics and New York Knicks. These two Eastern Conference rivals will play part in a defensive battle today in New York.
Playoff basketball brings out the best intensity defensively in most teams, especially these two. New York is expected to get several of its top defenders back for the playoffs in Tyson Chandler, Kenyon Martin and Marcus Camby. That will make this team a lot harder to score against.
These are two of the better defensive teams in the league. New York allows just 95.7 points/game overall and 94.0 points/game at home. Both of those numbers will go down now that they are healthy. Boston yields 96.7 points/game overall while scoring just 94.6 points/game on the road.
All four meetings between these teams this season have seen less than 200 combined points. Considering they have played four times already this year, they are obviously very familiar with one another. Familiarity breeds low-scoring games.
New York is 8-0 to the UNDER in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Knicks are combining with their opponents to average 183.6 points/game in this spot. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.
Note - I locked this play in right when the lines came out on Thursday. I can see this total is already dropping. I still recommend a bet on the UNDER as a 25* play at 190 or more. Anything less makes it a 20* play for you.