15* NL East PLAY OF THE DAY on Philadelphia Phillies -116
Philadelphia vs. Miami,
04/12/2013 19:10 EDT,
Score: 3 - 1
Money Line: -116 Philadelphia
The Philadelphia Phillies should be a much heavier favorite over the Miami Marlins tonight in Game 1 of this NL East series. I'll gladly take advantage and back them at a great price Friday.
Miami (1-8) is clearly the worst team in the big leagues. It is hitting just .217 and scoring 1.8 runs/game through its first nine games of the year. That includes a .143 average and 0.7 runs/game in its three home games.
John Lannan has been one of the most underrated starters in the league for years. He allowed just three earned runs and five base runners in a 4-3 victory over Kansas City on April 6th in his first start of the season.
Ricky Nolasco is considered the 'ace' of Miami's staff, which just goes to show how terrible its staff really is. Nolasco has posted a 4.48 ERA or worse in six of his first seven years in the majors. Simply put, that's terrible.
Miami is 0-9 (-11.0 Units) against the money line vs. excellent speed teams - averaging 1 or more SB's/game over the last 3 seasons. The Phillies are 29-14 in their last 43 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Marlins are 19-45 in their last 64 games as a home underdog. Take the Phillies.