Free Pick on Oklahoma City -
Oklahoma City vs. Golden State,
04/11/2013 22:30 EDT,
Score: 116 - 97
Point Spread: -3½/-110 Oklahoma City
There are few teams in the league that can keep pace with Oklahoma City’s 105.8 points per game and Golden State is not one of them. You should always play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Oklahoma City when they are an excellent offensive team scoring 102 points per game or more and playing against a poor defensive team holding opponents to 98-102 points per game after 42 or more games in the season. This system is 50-19 (73%) ATS over the last five seasons. Defensively the Warriors have not played well this season giving up 99.9 points per game. In fact, the Oklahoma City defense is holding opponents to 97.7 points per game on the road and the offense is outscoring the Warriors by a full 5 points per game. Oklahoma City has a road record that is just two games back of Golden State’s record at home. The Thunder are the better team in this matchup and it will show today.