15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Hawks/Celtics UNDER 195
Atlanta vs. Boston,
03/29/2013 19:30 EDT,
Score: 107 - 118
Total: -110/+195 Under
This total has been inflated tonight due to the recent meetings between the Hawks and Celtics. They have played three times already this season with the total being set at 187, 185 and 188.5 respectively. As you can see, we are getting a ton of value with this 195 number tonight.
Boston won at Atlanta 89-81 for 170 combined points in their first meeting of the season on January 5th. Atlanta beat Boston 123-111 (2 OT) in their second meeting on January 25th in a game that was tied 98-98 at the end of regulation. Boston then beat Atlanta 107-102 (OT) in their most recent meeting on March 8th in a game that was tied 94-94 at the end of regulation.
These last two overtimes have clearly forced the oddsmakers to inflate this total tonight in their 4th and final meeting. These teams are very familiar with each other having played three times in the past couple months, and familiarity breeds low-scoring games.
Boston has lost five of its last six heading into this one. It tends to buckle down defensively when it's on tough stretch like this one. That's evident by the fact that the Celtics are 7-0 to the UNDER after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season. They are combining with their opponents to average with their opponents to average 174.9 points/game in this spot. Roll with the UNDER in this game Friday.