5* No Brainer of the Year on Michigan -
Virginia Commonwealth vs. Michigan,
03/23/2013 12:15 EDT,
Score: 53 - 78
Point Spread: -3½/-104 Michigan
The Michigan Wolverines are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral court games. They are facing a VCU team that has been a bit inconsistent against the spread. The Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win and they are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record. The high pressure style of play the VCU Rams use will not work against a top tier team like Michigan. The Wolverines average a mere 9 turnovers per game and if VCU can’t get close to their 20 forced turnovers average they will have no chance at keeping this game close. The Wolverines have a defensive advantage too. They are holding opponents to 62.7 points per game while scoring 75 per game on offense. Those numbers are only slightly better than VCU when you don’t look any deeper, but Michigan built their statistical averages playing in the toughest conference in college basketball.