Free Pick on Arizona State +
Arizona State vs. Baylor,
03/22/2013 20:00 EDT,
Score: 86 - 89
Point Spread: +9/-105 Arizona State
If the total on this game is any indication there will be no shortage of offense in this game. Arizona State is coming off a performance in which they scored 83 points against Detroit. Baylor managed to double up Long Beach State in a 112-66 games. Arizona State’s offense is much better than Long Beach State and their defense has been very respectable this season holding opponents to an average of 66.9 points per game. You should always play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Baylor when they beat the spread by 24 points or more in their last three games and they are going against an opponent that has gone over the total by 18 points or more in their last three games. This system is 93-47 (66.4%) since 1997. Baylor’s style of play is to get into a shootout and Arizona State shoots 46% from the field so they should have no problem hanging around with Baylor and keeping this game close.