Jack's Free Pick Wednesday!
Texas vs. Kansas State,
01/18/2012 21:00 EDT,
Score: 80 - 84
Point Spread: -5/-109 Kansas State
The Kansas State Wildcats are showing solid value tonight as a small home favorite over the Texas Longhorns. Given how these teams have fared home and away, it's easy to see why I'm backing the Wildcats to get the job done in Manhattan Wednesday.
Kansas State is 7-1 at home this season. The Wildcats are scoring 77.0 points/game and allowing just 60.2 points/game, outscoring opponents by a whopping 16.8 points/game. That includes a dominant 75-59 victory over previously unbeaten Missouri on 1/7. Their lone home loss came to then-unbeaten Baylor by a final of 73-75 on 1/10.
Texas has been overrated all season in the eyes of oddsmakers and the betting public. The Longhorns are just 3-9 ATS in all games this year. Texas is 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS on the road this season, giving up a ridiculous 79.8 points/game and 46.9 percent shooting away from home. This is a young Longhorns team that is going through some growing pains, especially on the road.
Kansas State has gone 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four meetings with Texas. The Longhorns are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. The Wildcats are 34-17 ATS in their last 51 January home games. Kansas State is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games following a road game. Bet Kansas State Wednesday.