5* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month
Indiana vs. Philadelphia,
03/16/2013 19:30 EDT,
Score: 91 - 98
Point Spread: -4½/-110 Indiana
5* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month: Pacers -4.5
Indiana is definitely going to be a popular public bet today, but that isn't scaring me off this game. Oddsmakers have completely undervalued the Pacers due to the fact that they just played last night at home against the Lakers and lost outright. The Pacers are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 rest. They have also been a great team to back off a loss since the All-Star Break. Indiana has followed up their three previous losses with a win and cover in their next game.
Believe it or not, I think the 76ers are being overvalued right now. They pulled off a 106-97 home win over Brooklyn on Monday and played Miami tough in a 94-98 loss on Wednesday. That doesn't hide the fact that this team is 2-13 over their last 15 games.
I also have a hard time believing the 76ers are all that excited about spending their Saturday afternoon playing against a pissed off Indiana team that is going to bring the defensive intensity after getting embarrassed on their home floor. You also have to think they are in for a bit of a letdown coming off that game against Miami, where they desperately wanted to be the team to end their streak.
Philadelphia's just 2-6 ATS over their last 8 games following an ATS win, while the Pacers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. BET THE PACERS!