15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Milwaukee Bucks +6
Miami vs. Milwaukee,
03/15/2013 20:30 EDT,
Score: 107 - 94
Point Spread: +6/-105 Milwaukee
I've been fading the Miami Heat with a ton of success during their current 20-game winning streak. The more games they add onto this streak, the higher the expectations are from the betting public and oddsmakers. This has created excellent line value for their opponents.
There's no question that Miami is going to get everyone's best shot because they are the defending champs, and because of this streak. I believe Milwaukee's best shot is good enough to beat the Heat tonight.
In fact, Milwaukee has played Miami very tough this season. The home team has won each meeting with Miami prevailing 113-106 at home on November 21st, and Milwaukee winning 104-85 at home on December 29th. Off two straight losses, the Bucks are more hungry than every for a victory tonight.
The Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings with the Heat. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Milwaukee has actually won four of its last six meetings with Miami outright. The Heat are 13-28 ATS in road games after having won 20 or more of their last 25 games since 1996. Roll with the Bucks Friday.