15* Mavs/Spurs TNT Thursday No-Brainer on Dallas +8
Dallas vs. San Antonio,
03/14/2013 20:00 EDT,
Score: 91 - 92
Point Spread: +8/-110 Dallas
The San Antonio Spurs are way overvalued as an 8-point home favorite over the Dallas Mavericks tonight. I'll gladly side with the value and back the Mavericks in a game I fully expect them to win outright. I'll only take the points for some added insurance.
San Antonio is clearly having problems without Tony Parker. That's evidence by the fact that it has lost two out of its last three in blowout fashion to non-playoff teams in Portland (106-136) and Minnesota (83-107). Now, both Tim Duncan (knee) and Kawhi Leonard (ankle) are both questionable heading into this contest with the Mavs.
Don't look now, but Dallas is just 2.5 game behind the Los Angeles Lakers for the 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. It has won four straight games coming into this contest with the Spurs, including three road victories. Dallas is playing its best basketball of the season right now, but somehow it continues to getting overlooked by oddsmakers and the betting public. It is 21-7 ATS in its last 28 games overall.
Adding fuel to the fire for the Mavs is the fact that they have already lost twice to San Antonio this season. In fact, they have lost four straight in this series dating back to last year. There's no question that they want revenge tonight folks and I fully expect them to get it against the hobbled Spurs.
Dallas is 51-26 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. The Mavericks are 23-7 ATS in a road game where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 3 seasons. Dallas is 17-4 ATS in its last 21 vs. Western Conference opponents. The Mavericks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Roll with Dallas Thursday.