4* Big Ten *BEST BET*
Iowa vs. Purdue,
01/17/2012 20:00 EDT,
Score: 68 - 75
Point Spread: -10/-110 Purdue
4* Big Ten *BEST BET* Purdue -10
Iowa has given Purdue all it has wanted and more the last two times these teams have faced off. Both of those meetings were in Iowa City. Rest assured, things will be different in West Lafayette.
The Boilermakers have won 4 in a row at home in the series and the last 3 home wins have come by 22, 23 and 23 points. While Iowa is improved, it certainly isn't immune to beatings. The Hawkeyes lost to Ohio State by 29 points and to Michigan State by 34 points before Saturday's win over Michigan.
The home team is on a 7-0 ATS run in this series and Purdue is 15-4 ATS in lined home games since the beginning of last season. Purdue is also 6-0 ATS after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last 2 seasons, 10-0 ATS in home games after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons, 6-0 ATS after a game where it failed to cover the spread this season, 7-0 ATS in home games after a game committing 8 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons and 6-0 ATS in home games after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
Iowa is just 1-9 ATS in road games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons and 0-6 ATS in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons. Lay the number.