Free Pick on Syracuse -1
Syracuse vs. Marquette,
02/25/2013 19:00 EDT,
Score: 71 - 74
Point Spread: -1/-110 Syracuse
You should always play on a road team like Syracuse where the line is +3 to -3 and they are shooting 32-36.5% from beyond the three point line against a team with an average three point defense that allowed 37% shooting or less in their last two games. This situation is 54-25 (68.4%) the last 79 times it has occurred. Sticking with the three point angle, the Orange are 7-0 ATS vs. teams attempting 14 or less three point shots per game over the last three seasons.
The Marquette defense has been somewhat inconsistent this year. They are 1-7 ATS after allowing 60 points or less in their last game this season. The Syracuse defense is holding teams to 59.2 points per game on 37% shooting from the field and 28.9% from beyond the three point line.
The oddsmakers have not given Syracuse as much credit as they deserve which is why they have earned a 14-9 ATS record. Syracuse will be the best team Marquette has faced on their home court this season so their 14-0 home record is in jeopardy. Both of these teams have similar defensive numbers, but the Orange have a much better offense and it will show tonight.