5* NO BRAINER on Tennessee Martin +
Tennessee-Martin vs. Tennessee Tech,
02/21/2013 20:00 EDT,
Score: 68 - 83
Point Spread: +8½/-110 Tennessee-Martin
The road team is getting too many points in a game that features two evenly matched teams. Tennessee-Martin is coming off a bad loss to SE Missouri State and the oddsmakers have over adjusted based on the result of that game. You should always play on road underdogs of 10 or more points like Tennessee-Martin after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in February games. This system is 97-54 (64.2%) since 1997.
The wear and tear of a road game is much harder on some teams than it is others. Tennessee Tech is one of those teams that has had trouble handling the travel and extra energy involved with coming off a stretch on the road. They are 4-13 ATS in home games after playing a road game over the last three seasons.
In a game involving two teams that are evenly matched statistically we have to take the road team. Tennessee-Martin is a better free throw shooting team, and getting this many points when there are no key injuries is just too many to pass up.