3* Main Event on Evansville +
Illinois State vs. Evansville,
02/20/2013 20:05 EDT,
Score: 62 - 79
Point Spread: +1/-107 Evansville
Illinois State is coming off a tough one point loss on their home court to Wichita State. You should always play on home teams as an underdog or pick like Evansville when they are revenging a road loss vs an opponent when that opponent is off a home loss by 3 points or less. Over the last five seasons this system is 61-26 ATS.
Evansville is 10-1 ATS vs. teams making 72% of their free throw attempts after 15 games over the least two seasons. Good free throw shooting teams rely on those easy points from the line and teams can't get to the line against Evansville because of their ability to stay out of foul trouble. The Aces average only 16 fouls per game and should be able to avoid getting into any trouble against Illinois State.
The head to head history between these teams is also favorable for Evansville. They are 4-0 ATS over the last three seasons and that number should improve tonight.