Jack's Free Pick Saturday!
New Jersey vs. Utah,
01/14/2012 21:00 EDT,
Score: 94 - 107
Point Spread: +9/-109 New Jersey
The New Jersey Nets are showing awesome value again Saturday as a 9-point underdog to the Utah Jazz. New Jersey point guard Deron Williams is going to want this one a little more considering he will be playing against his former team. I look for the Nets to take the Jazz right down to the wire, likely pulling off the upset.
Williams poured in 35 points and dished out 14 assists last night as the Nets won outright at Phoenix 110-103 as a 6.5-point underdog. That was the third straight cover for the Nets, who played the Nuggets to an 8-point game on the road and lost to the Hawks by 5 points at home in their two games before Phoenix. This team is certainly getting better with time.
Utah is way overvalued and they should never be this heavily favored. The Jazz had been beating up on some bad teams before meeting their match in a home loss to the Lakers last time out. They had won five straight before that, but four of those wins came by nine points or less against inferior opponents.
This play falls into a system that is 22-5 (81.5%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on any team (NEW JERSEY) - good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (