15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Cleveland Cavaliers +10.5
Cleveland vs. LA Lakers,
01/13/2012 22:30 EDT,
Score: 92 - 97
Point Spread: +10½/-105 Cleveland
Any time the Los Angeles Lakers are laying double-digits, they are overvalued. The Lakers are a good team this season under new head coach Mike Brown, but this is a team notorious for playing down to their competition.
The Lakers are a respectable 8-4 this season, but five of their last six wins have come by single-digits. They aren't built for blowing teams out, and they rely way too much on Kobe Bryant to be able to win in blowouts consistently.
Cleveland is one of the most underrated teams in the league this year. The Cavs are off to a solid 5-5 start this season, and they are coming off a huge 101-90 road victory over the Phoenix Suns last night. What's most impressive about their 5-5 start is that seven of their first 10 games have come on the road.
The Cavs want revenge from their worst loss of the season last year. Cleveland lost in L.A. 57-112 in a game that symbolized the low point of their season. They would eventually get payback with a 104-99 home victory over the Lakers a little more than a month later, but this team wants real revenge by going into L.A. and coming away with a victory tonight.
This play falls into a system that is 25-6 (80.6%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet on underdogs of 10 or more points (CLEVELAND) - tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days against opponent extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days. Take the Cavaliers Friday.