3* HEAVY HITTER on Denver Nuggets -
Chicago vs. Denver,
02/07/2013 22:30 EDT,
Score: 96 - 128
Point Spread: -6/-110 Denver
Denver's offense is clicking on all cylinders and I don't expect the Bulls to be able to keep up with the pace. The Nuggets have broken the 100 point barrier in eight straight games and haven't scored less than 97 since New Year's Day. Chicago on the other hand has scored more than 100 only three times in their last ten, while being held to under 90 four times. You want to take favorites that score 102+ ppg when playing a team scoring less than 98 ppg after they have put up 110 or more in three straight games. These teams are 23-6 (79.3%) ATS over the last five seasons.
The Nuggets enjoy one of the best home court advantages in the NBA, and they have continued that success this year by going 21-3 SU and 16-8 ATS. They are scoring 108.4 ppg while giving up 99.3 in Denver. Their main weakness is allowing opponents to shoot and make a lot of three point attempts, but that is definitely not a strong suit of the Bulls, especially without Kirk Heinrich.
Denver is rolling and has the matchup advantage so I'll take the Nuggets tonight.