15* NBA Non-Conference Total DOMINATOR on Kings/Celtics UNDER 194
Sacramento vs. Boston,
01/30/2013 19:30 EDT,
Score: 81 - 99
Total: -105/+194 Under
The books have set the bar too high tonight in this contest between the Sacramento Kings and Boston Celtics. I don't expect either team to reach 100 points tonight in this one, thus I'll back the UNDER with confidence.
Oddsmakers are overreacting from some recent high scoring games by Boston. However, three of Boston's last six games have gone to overtime, which is the biggest reason for this inflated number tonight. Also, you have to remember that Rajon Rondo is out for the season, so Boston is going to be lost offensively for a while. It is going to have to rely on its defense to win games.
Not counting overtime, the Celtics and their opponents have combined for 196 or less points in 10 straight games while averaging a mere 181.4 points/game during this stretch. In fact, nine of their last 10 games have seen 194 or less combined points at the end of regulation.
The UNDER is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Boston. The UNDER is 7-2 in Boston's last 9 home games. The UNDER is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games following a S.U. win. The UNDER is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The UNDER is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. Western Conference foes. These last three trends combine for a perfect 13-0 system backing the UNDER. Take the UNDER in this game Wednesday.