20* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on New Orleans Hornets +7
Oklahoma City vs. New Orleans,
01/11/2012 20:00 EDT,
Score: 95 - 85
Point Spread: +7/-110 New Orleans
The New Orleans Hornets are showing solid value tonight as a big home underdog to the Oklahoma City Thunder. New Orleans has a very good chance to be a profitable team this year at the pay window because the betting public does not want to back them after trading away Chris Paul. I still believe this team has plenty of talent overall to compete this season.
Oklahoma City is way overvalued tonight due to their 9-2 start to the season. This will be OKC's 5th game in 6 days, which is a tough stretch for any team. While the Thunder have nine wins this year, five of those victories have come by 5 points or less. This is a good team, but luck has clearly been on their side in the early going.
New Orleans is coming off their best win of the season, a 94-81 road victory over the Denver Nuggets. With a night off in between games, this team will return home playing with a lot of confidence tonight. They will be the fresher team, and I can certainly see the Thunder overlooking the Hornets just like the Nuggets did two nights ago.
The Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Oklahoma City is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. The home team has won four of the last five in this series. Bet the Hornets Wednesday.