3* SUNDAY NIGHT SLAM on New England Patriots -

3* SUNDAY NIGHT SLAM on New England Patriots -

Baltimore vs. New England, 01/20/2013 18:30 EDT, Score: 28 - 13

Point Spread: -7½/-110 New England

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Loss

3* SUNDAY NIGHT SLAM on New England Patriots -

Baltimore went into Denver and beat the a very good Broncos team in double overtime and now bettors are jumping all over them against New England. I understand why, but think they are taking things a little too simply.


What I saw was a Ravens team that took advantage of a few big plays. You can't rely on bombs and interception returns every week, so I don't think Baltimore will be able to put up the kind of points to stay with New England.


You don't see many favorites of more than a touchdown in the conference championship games, there have only been four other times dating back to 2001. All four of those teams won straight up by an average of 16.75 points and they were 3-1 ATS, covering by an average of 6.12. Good teams come through when they are this close to reaching their goal, and I think the Pats make another trip to the Super Bowl.


Road underdogs of 3.5-10 points off an upset win as an underdog in a game involving two teams with a winning record in the second half of the season are just 36-72 since 1983.


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