3* HEAVY HITTER on Western Michigan +

3* HEAVY HITTER on Western Michigan +

Western Michigan vs. Akron, 01/09/2013 19:00 EDT, Score: 43 - 65

Point Spread: +14½/-103 Western Michigan

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Loss

3* HEAVY HITTER on Western Michigan +

This is a pretty good matchup for the Broncos to be catching 14 points in. Akron is definitely a good team who scores efficiently and plays pretty good defense, but don't sleep on Western Michigan. They have played the tougher schedule to date and have came out looking pretty good at 8-5.

There are two things I love about this underdog. The first is they get to the foul line at a high rate. The team shoots four more three throws a game than their opponents give up, while Akron allows two more free throws per game than their opponents normally take. The other is rebounding. They are dominating the boards against their opponents by nearly 9 more per game. Akron's rebounding numbers are impressive too, but when they shoot at a higher rate that their opponents that is going naturally be the case (defensive boards are easier to grab than offensive.)

The Broncos have wins over South Florida and Oakland. They have been beat up pretty bad by Michigan and NC State, but those two teams are a lot better than the Zips. I don't see Akron winning this game in a rout so I'll gladly take the points.


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