15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Western Michigan +14.5
Western Michigan vs. Akron,
01/09/2013 19:00 EDT,
Score: 43 - 65
Point Spread: +14½/-103 Western Michigan
The Western Michigan Broncos are one of the most underrated teams in the country. They are off to a very solid 8-5 start this season with their only losses coming on the road against some very good competition in Cornell, Michigan, Illinois State, Duquesne and NC State.
They are certainly battle-tested after playing three of the top teams in the country in Michigan, Illinois State and NC State. They also have impressive wins on the road against Loyola-Illinois (81-71) as a 5-pint dog, and South Florida (58-53) as a 10-point dog.
Akron is overvalued due to a five-game winning streak coming in that has gotten the Zips to 9-4 on the season. However, all five of those wins came at home against some very soft competition. Those five wins were against Arkansas-Pine Bluff, Cleveland State, Texas Southern, Princeton and Coppin State.
Western Michigan will be motivated to put an end to a 7-game losing streak to Akron. It has played the Zips very tough during this skid, though, as six of the seven losses have come by 12 points or less. That includes a 66-69 overtime loss to Akron in their lone meeting last season.
This play falls into a system that is 24-5 (82.8%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home favorites of 10 or more points (AKRON) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after scoring 85 points or more. Take Western Michigan Wednesday.