Oklahoma City vs. Washington,
01/07/2013 19:00 EDT,
Score: 99 - 101
Total: -110/+193 Over
On Monday the Road warrior play is on the Spurs. Game 705 at 8:05 eastern. The Spurs are in a solid system here that is 18-0 with 16 spread wins and covers by 15 per game. We want to play on rested road favorites of 5 or more with a total of 190 or higher that scored 90 or more and shot 45% or higher as a 10 or more point home favorite and had prior rest, vs an opponent that scored 90 or more as a road dog of 5 or more and shot 45% or less. The Hornets cashed for us on Saturday rallying to beat Dallas on the road in overtime. The Hornets though are 1-4 ats off a dog win and have failed to cover in 11 of 16 home games this season. They have lost a pair of tough losses vs the Spurs and may not have much fight in this one. The Spurs are 15-1 with 13 spread wins vs losing teams and 18-3 ats when the total is 190 to 194.5. Plus we note that there is another 95% system I use that plays on .700 Or better road favorites vs Sub 300 home dogs if both teams are off a win. Take the Spurs.
On Monday the Double system totals play is on the over in the OKC at Washington game. Rotation numbers 701/702 at 7:05 eastern. OKC has flown over in 11 of 14 vs teams who score 91 or less, including all 3 this season. The Wizards should do better than last nights output in Miami as they put up just 71 points. Washington has posted overs in 9 of 13 vs winning teams. Now for power systems. Go over the total for road favorites with no rest at -5 or higher that were road favorites of 5 or more last night and are taking on an opponent that scored 80 or less on the road. If the total in this one is 190 or higher these games have gone over every time since 1995 and average 218 points. The Second system plays to the over for home dogs with no rest that scored 80 or less as a road dog of 10 or more, vs an opponent that scored 100 or more as a favorite in their last game, this one has lost just once. Look for this game to fly over the total tonight.