15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Charlotte Bobcats +11
Charlotte vs. New York,
01/09/2012 19:30 EDT,
Score: 87 - 91
Point Spread: +11/-105 Charlotte
The Charlotte Bobcats are showing too good of value to pass up Monday as a double-digit underdog to the New York Knicks once again. New York was favored by 11.5 in their first meeting of the season with the Bobcats on 1/04, and they actually lost that game outright at home 118-110.
While the Knicks will want revenge, they should not be laying double-digits. New York is too inconsistent of a team to be laying double-digits against almost anyone. The Knicks have started 4-4, which includes a 1-2 home mark. They are clearly overrated in the eyes of oddsmakers and the betting public considering New York is just 2-6 ATS in all games this year.
This play falls into a system that is 42-17 (71.2%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against favorites of 10 or more points (NEW YORK) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days.
The Bobcats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Atlantic. The Knicks are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games. New York is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. The Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. These four trends make for a 20-0 system backing Charlotte. Roll with the Bobcats Monday.