RV: 5* TRIPLE SYSTEM BCS CHAMPIONSHIP WINNER
Alabama vs. LSU,
01/09/2012 20:30 EDT,
Score: 21 - 0
Point Spread: +2½/-104 LSU
On Monday the BCS Championship Power System Play is on LSU. Game 270 at 8:35 eastern. The Big revenge game is here. LSU has defeated 4 teams in the Top 10 this season in Alabama, Oregon, Arkansas and West Virginia, the first team to accomplish this feat since 1940. LSU has won 4 BCS Games here in the Super Dome and Alabama has not won here in the last 19 years with the last win coming in 1992. Alabama had LSU Right where they wanted them at home in the regular season in a game they lost only due to poor kicking and an unlucky turnover with the ball coming out of the wide receivers hands simultaneously as he hit the 1 yard line. This time it may be harder to out play an LSU team with most dangerous return game in the country and a special teams unit that has allowed 6 yards on punt returns. In a game where the intangibles could decide it LSU has the edges. LSU also has the motivation of knowing that despite their undefeated status they are a 2 point dog in this one. In games vs #1 and 2 teams the 2nd ranked team is usually the dog and they have covered at a high rate with that motivation. LSU has that edge here. The Tigers fit a Sagarin strength of Schedule system here as they have a played a togher schedule than Alabama. For technical purposes we note that bowl favorites from -1.5 to -8.5 with 43 or less days rest off 3+ wins but not an ats loss of 8 or more cash over 94% vs teams that are not off a shutout win. LSU has won 11 of the last 14 bowls. SEC Dogs off a win have covered well over 80% in bowl games the past few seasons. Look for LSU to win this one. Take the points with LSU.