West Virginia -3.5
West Virginia vs. Syracuse,
12/29/2012 15:15 EDT,
Score: 14 - 38
Point Spread: -3½/-110 West Virginia
I like West Virginia to cover the small number against Syracuse here today. The Mountaineers are 10-1 ATS on the road against passing defenses allowing a 62% completion rate or worse going back to 1992. West Virginia is completing 70.5% of their passes on the season and will match up well a Orange defense that gives up 63.1% passing on the season.
I also like the strength of the Big 12 over the Big East this year. West Virginia fell off in the middle of the season and had a couple of close losses to Oklahoma and TCU, much tougher competition than the Orange faced. The last three games the Mountaineers found a rushing attack to go with their aerial attack, gaining 458 yards against Oklahoma, 239 against Iowa State, and 240 versus Kansas on the ground.
The only thing keeping this from being a premium pick for me is the fact that Syracuse ended their season with three decent wins, but I think they struggle with the step up in competition here today.
***3-FOR-1 Saturday Bowl Package is now posted and includes our Pre-New Year's Bowl Total of the Year on West Virginia/Syracuse and our Side/Total Parlay on Michigan State/TCU!***