5* NBA *Friday Night Feast* on Nuggets -2.5

5* NBA *Friday Night Feast* on Nuggets -2.5

Denver vs. Dallas, 12/28/2012 20:30 EDT, Score: 106 - 85

Point Spread: -2½/-105 Denver

Sportsbook: JustBet.cx

Result: Win

5* NBA *Friday Night Feast* on Nuggets -2.5
Here we have two teams headed in opposite directions, and I won't hesitate to take the one on the upswing.

The Mavs have lost seven of eight while the Nuggets have won six of nine. Denver has gone 7-2 ATS in these games.

This is a game the Nuggets had circled heading into the season as they lost last season's last three meetings with the Mavs by double digits. These defeats should fuel a very motivated performance from Denver.

The Nuggets have been a terrific investment on the road where they are on a 60-41 ATS run. It is also worth noting that the Nuggets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Dallas, and the road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

The Nuggets have a big edge on the boards. They average 56 rebounds per game while the Mavs average just 49. It is also significant that Dallas gives up an average of 55 boards per game. That's because the Nuggets are on a 66-42 ATS run versus poor rebounding teams that are outrebounded by 3.0 or more boards per game.

In addition, the Mavs are on a 10-25 ATS slide versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds per game. Take Denver.


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