RV: TRIPLE SYSTEM POINSETTIA BOWL WINNER
BYU vs. San Diego State,
12/20/2012 20:00 EDT,
Score: 23 - 6
Point Spread: +3½/-110 San Diego State
On Thursday the Poinsettia Bowl Selection is on the San Diego St Aztecs. Game 206 at 8:00 eastern. Were thrilled to see the line moving up in this one. Normally we would use Our Neutral sets in our system library. However since this is a home game for San Diego St we will use our home Bowler systems and The Aztecs fit 3 different variations here tonight. Bowl home dogs off a win vs been solid investment and Home Teams in Bowl game that are not dogs of 6 or more have been solid Money makers as well. Independent teams like BYU have failed to cover 90% of the time vs an opponent off a double digit win. BYU is 0-3 ats as a favorite from -3.5 to -10 and has lost 3 of 4 vs winning teams. The Aztecs have won 3 of 4 vs winning teams, 18 of 22 off a conference game including 7 straight wins. The Aztecs rank 28th in the nation in scoring at 35.1 points per game. Most of their damage has come on the ground and they rank 16th with 229.2 rushing yards per game. BYU Has a defensive edge here and the offenses are even. However San Diego St has won 6 of 7 here and BYU has lost 4 of 6 on the road. The Aztecs went on the road on the Blue Turf and won in Boise St as a 16 point dog. BYU lost there 7-6. Dogs have covered 4 of the last 5 in this bowl. Mountain West Conference Home dogs are 3-0 ats this season. BYU is 0-6 ats off a win. We will back the dog on a 7 game win streak here in this one and take the Points with San Diego St. See adddtional trends below.
Aztecs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Aztecs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Aztecs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Aztecs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Aztecs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Aztecs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. INDEP.
Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Cougars are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Cougars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.