3* on SMASH
Detroit vs. Syracuse,
12/17/2012 19:00 EDT,
Score: 68 - 72
Point Spread: +19½/-110 Detroit
3* on SMASH on Detroit +19.5 I got hosed on Saturday going against Syracuse but I'm giving it another shot tonight. Canisius played them closer than the 24 point final indicated as the Orange led by only a few points at halftime. They had to shoot 55% from the floor to earn that cover and I can't see them repeating that kind of shooting performance tonight. Detroit is a solid team that went through a tough schedule early in the year playing the likes of St. John's, Miami, and Pitt. While they struggled it helped prepare them for the rest of their games as Detroit has now won four straight games and is on a little bit of a roll of their own. The big number here and Syracuse's perfect record sets us up for a nice little system that says to fade home favorites of 10+ points off 9 or more straight wins. These teams are just 76-133 ATS the last five years. Detroit is a better team than they are being given credit for and Syracuse is laying a few extra points than they should be here. Go with the underdog.