4* NFL Thursday Night Football SMASH on Bengals -4

4* NFL Thursday Night Football SMASH on Bengals -4

Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia, 12/13/2012 20:20 EDT, Score: 34 - 13

Point Spread: -4/-108 Cincinnati

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

4* NFL Thursday Night Football SMASH on Bengals -4
The Bengals, who are right in the thick of the AFC playoff hunt, will be very focused here after seeing their four-game win streak come to an end with a 20-19 loss to the Dallas Cowboys. They close the season with big division contests against the Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens so this is a game they need to get.

The Eagles won Sunday but have still lost eight of their last nine games. It is significant that they have won only 30.8 percent of their games on the season because the Bengals are 6-0 against the spread all-time under coach Marvin Lewis in the second half of the season in road games against teams that have won just 25.0 to 40.0 percent of their games. Cincinnati has won by an average score of 24.3 to 10.0 in this situation.

It is also significant that the Eagles are giving up 7.2 yards per pass attempt this season. That’s because Cincinnati is on a 19-7 against the spread run in the second half of the season against poor pass defenses that allow 7.0 yards or more per pass attempt. The Bengals have won by an average score of 25.0 to 17.5 in this situation.

Philadelphia has been a poor investment this season. It is just 3-9-1 against the number in all games. It has especially been a bad investment in games the oddsmakers have expected to be close. The Eagles are 0-7 against the spread this season in games when the line is +3 to -3. It has lost by an average score of 28.0 to 16.3 in these contests. Since the line opened at 3, this trend is in play. Bet the Bengals.


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