15* LSU/Arkansas CBS Friday No-Brainer on Arkansas +12.5
LSU vs. Arkansas,
11/23/2012 14:30 EDT,
Score: 20 - 13
Point Spread: +12½/-110 Arkansas
The LSU Tigers don’t really have a whole lot to play for in this one. They can’t win the SEC, and they are certainly out of the national title race with two losses on the year. They have been a bit sluggish the last two weeks, too, especially in a 41-35 home win over Ole Miss last week as a 19-point favorite.
This is Arkansas’ bowl game since it won’t be going to one. It is also Senior Day, and the Razorbacks will certainly want to send senior QB Tyler Wilson and company out with a victory. Wilson has been a bright spot this season, completing 62.5 percent of his passes for 3,028 yards with 20 touchdowns and 12 interceptions.
The Razorbacks should have some success through the air against an LSU defense that has given up over 300 passing yards to both Mississippi State and Ole Miss over the last two weeks. Arkansas ranks 25th in the country in passing offense at 296.3 yards per game.
Arkansas has not been great against the pass this season, but that’s not a big problem considering LSU ranks just 90th in passing offense at 206.4 yards per game. The Razorbacks have been great against the run, ranking 25th at 127.3 yards per game and 3.5 per carry. That’s big against an LSU offense that relies heavily on the run, rushing for 188.2 yards per game this season.
The home team has won four straight in this series. The Razorbacks are 6-0 ATS ATS in home games after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons. Arkansas is 15-4 ATS off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more since 1992. The Razorbacks are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games, including 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take Arkansas Friday.