3* NFL Thanksgiving *BEST BET* on Cowboys -3

3* NFL Thanksgiving *BEST BET* on Cowboys -3

Washington vs. Dallas, 11/22/2012 16:15 EDT, Score: 38 - 31

Point Spread: -3/-120 Dallas

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Loss

3* NFL Thanksgiving *BEST BET* on Cowboys -3
Following back-to-back wins, Dallas has something to play for all of a sudden. It is now only one game behind the New York Giants, who have dropped two in a row, in the NFC East.
The Cowboys have had Washington’s number. They have won each of the past three and six of the last seven meetings. They have long dominated Washington on their home field where they have won 17 of the last 20 meetings by an average score of 23 to 14.
The Redskins are one of the worst defensive teams in the NFL. They currently rank 26th in total defense with 383.8 yards allowed per game and 25th in scoring with 25.4 points allowed per contest. They have especially been poor against the pass, ranking 29th in the league with 289.2 passing yards allowed per game.
The Cowboys have a passing attack capable of taking advantage of Washington’s porous secondary. They currently rank seventh in the league in passing offense with 284.3 yards per game while completing a healthy 67.8 percent of their passes. Their high completion rate is significant because teams headed up by Mike Shanahan are just 5-18 against the spread in road games versus teams that complete 64.0 percent or more of their passes over the past two decades. Shanahan’s squads have lost these games by an average score of 31.5 to 17.8.
The Cowboys have been a strong home bet in the month of November for a long time, and their Thanksgiving dominance is a big reason why. They are an awesome 33-18 against the spread in November home games over the last two decades and have won these by an average score of 24.8 to 17.3.
Dallas is 28-15-1 all-time on Thanksgiving day. Throwing out the tie, that’s a rock solid .651 winning percentage.

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