5* Big 12 Game of the Week on West Virginia -1.5

5* Big 12 Game of the Week on West Virginia -1.5

West Virginia vs. Iowa State, 11/23/2012 15:30 EDT, Score: 31 - 24

Point Spread: -1½/-110 West Virginia

Sportsbook: BookMaker

Result: Win

5* Big 12 Game of the Week on West Virginia -1.5
Iowa State became bowl eligible last week with a win against Kansas so it does not have the same sense of urgency as West Virginia, who needs to win today to become bowl eligible.

The Mountaineers have faltered since their 5-0 start, losing each of their last five games. However, they should enter this game with a ton of confidence following a very positive performance against Oklahoma last week. They played the Sooners to a one-point game. Consider that Iowa State lost to Oklahoma by 15.

I believe it is also significant that West Virginia defeated Texas on the road. ISU lost 33-7 when it visited Austin.

West Virginia has one of the most explosive offenses in the country. It averages 510 yards and 40.9 points per game. I just don't see an Iowa State offense that averages 370.0 yards and 25.3 points per game being able to keep pace.

The Cyclones have relied on their defense to create turnovers to help the offense out, but WVU doesn't turn it over often. They haven't had more than 2 turnovers in any game this season. Geno Smith only has 5 interceptions. I expect a huge game from him against an Iowa State pass defense that is among the worst in the nation.

The Cyclones are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a win.


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