15* Wake Forest/Notre Dame NBC No-Brainer on Wake Forest +24
Wake Forest vs. Notre Dame,
11/17/2012 15:30 EDT,
Score: 0 - 38
Point Spread: +24/-105 Wake Forest
While the Fighting Irish are 10-0 this season, they haven’t really been blowing teams out on a regular basis. Only two of their 10 wins have come by more than 17 points, so this isn’t a team used to having to try and cover such big numbers.
They are failing to live up to expectations of late despite their ability to continue to win. That’s evident by the fact that they are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. As expectations continue to grow with their undefeated record, so do their point spreads.
Notre Dame is 5-0 at home this season, but what’s most amazing about that is its margin of victory. It is only outscoring opponents by an average of 4.6 points per game at home this season. All five of its home wins have come by 7 points or less, including two in overtime to Stanford and Pittsburgh.
Wake Forest only lost by a final of 17-24 as a 13.5-point home underdog to Notre Dame last season. It was only outgained 297-341 for the game in a closely-contested battle. The Demon Deacons have to feel like they can stay within this big number given how well they fared last year.
The Demon Deacons are 10-1 (91%) ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. loss. Wake Forest is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 vs. Independent foes. Notre Dame is 6-18 ATS in its last 24 as a favorite of 21.5 to 31.5 points. The Fighting Irish are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 as a home favorite of 21.5 to 28. Take Wake Forest Saturday.