3* NCAAF SMASH on North Carolina -3

3* NCAAF SMASH on North Carolina -3

North Carolina vs. Virginia, 11/15/2012 19:30 EDT, Score: 37 - 13

Point Spread: -3/-115 North Carolina

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

3* NCAAF SMASH on North Carolina -3
Virginia has been a terrible investment this season. It is just 1-9 against the spread in its 10 games. It has especially been a bad investment at home where it is 0-6 against the spread on the season.

The Cavaliers defeated Miami 41-40 last week, but they are 0-4 against the spread in their last four games following a win. The Tar Heels fell 68-50 to Georgia Tech last week, but they are 5-1 against the number in their last six games following a loss. It is also worth noting that they are 7-2 against the spread in their last nine games following a double-digit loss at home.

North Carolina has had the upper hand in the series recently. It has won the past two meetings both straight up and against the spread. It won last season’s meeting 28-17 at home, and it won 44-10 the last time it visited Virginia.

North Carolina is one of the most explosive offensive teams in the country. It ranks 10th in scoring with 40.5 points per game and 15th in total offense with 488.7 yards per game. Virginia, on the other hand, ranks 90th in scoring with 24.6 points per game and 48th in total offense with 419.1 yards per game.

The Cavaliers are 1-6 against the spread in their last seven conference games and 1-7 against the spread in their last eight games versus a team that has a winning record. They are also on a 0-8 against the spread slide when playing on six days' rest or fewer. They have lost these eight contests by an average score of 33.5 to 21.5.


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