3* NCAAB SMASH on Duke -3

3* NCAAB SMASH on Duke -3

Kentucky vs. Duke, 11/13/2012 21:30 EDT, Score: 68 - 75

Point Spread: -3/-105 Duke

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

3* NCAAB SMASH on Duke -3
The inexperienced Kentucky Wildcats, who return no starters from last season's championship team, struggled in their opener against Maryland. I expect their struggles to continue as they go up against an experienced Duke squad that brings back four starters.

The Wildcats are just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 following an ATS loss, 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 non-conference games and 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games versus ACC opponents.

In addition, favorites checking in off a home win of 10 points or more in first 5 games of the season, provided they closes out last season with four or more consecutive losses ATS, are 25-8 ATS the last three seasons.

Kentucky has plenty of talent, but it will take time for these young guys to jell. I'll side with experience tonight. Lay the points.

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