20* Pitt/UConn ESPN 2 Friday No-Brainer on Connecticut +3.5
Pittsburgh vs. Connecticut,
11/09/2012 20:00 EDT,
Score: 17 - 24
Point Spread: +3½/-110 Connecticut
The Panthers could be in a huge letdown spot here. They have to be deflated after their triple overtime loss to the Fighting Irish last Saturday, which was their chance to salvage a poor season. I foresee them showing up mentally to play this game Friday after such a tough defeat.
Connecticut has been better than its 3-6 record would indicate. It is actually outgaining opponents by 28 yards per game this season, which is a number more indicative of a team that would be above .500 on the year. It remains competitive thanks to a stop unit gives up just 18.6 points per game, and one that ranks 9th in the country in total defense at 290.2 yards per game allowed.
Pittsburgh is 1-3 on the road this season where it is scoring just 17.2 points per game and averaging 331 total yards per game. It will have a hard time moving the football on this stingy Huskies’ defense Friday night. The home team has won three straight and six of the last eight meetings in this series.
Paul Pasqualoni is 7-0 ATS in home games after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games in all games he has coached. Pasqualoni is 11-2 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse in all games he has coached. The Huskies are 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 games following a S.U. loss. Connecticut is 31-15-1 ATS in its last 47 home games. Bet Connecticut Friday.