5* Orange Bowl *BEST BET*
West Virginia vs. Clemson,
01/04/2012 20:00 EDT,
Score: 70 - 33
Point Spread: +3/+105 West Virginia
5* Orange Bowl *BEST BET* (ESPN) on West Virginia +3
I'll gladly take the points with West Virginia, who is slightly better than Clemson on both sides of the football.
The Mountaineers rank 17th in the nation in total offense with 459.6 yards per game while the Tigers rank 27th with 441.5 yards per game. The Mountaineers also rank 28th in total defense with 340.3 yards allowed per game while the Tigers rank 61st with 379.4 yards allowed per contest.
West Virginia has been a phenomenal investment when catching points, going 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games as an underdog. In addition, it is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games as an underdog of 3.0 points or less. The Tigers are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 3.0 points or less.
Clemson was not the same team that started 8-0 down the stretch as it failed to score more than 17 points in 3 of its last 5 games and went just 1-4 ATS in those contests. Plus, the Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 bowl games as a favorite and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Big East. Take West Virginia.