3* Sunday NFL SMASH on Redskins +5

3* Sunday NFL SMASH on Redskins +5

Washington vs. Pittsburgh, 10/28/2012 13:00 EDT, Score: 12 - 27

Point Spread: +5/-115 Washington

Sportsbook: Bovada

Result: Loss

3* Sunday NFL SMASH on Redskins +5
The Steelers haven't won consecutive games all season, and they'll have a difficult time doing so against a Washington squad that has been extremely competitive.

Pittsburgh is just 3-11 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons and has only won by an average of 2.5 points in this situation. The Steelers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a SU win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win.

The Steelers are also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a losing record and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

Washington is 4-1 ATS in the underdog role this season, and it's success as a dog comes as no surprise. The Redskins are 61-39 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points the last 2 decades, and this trend tightens up to 35-16 ATS when they're on the road and catching 3.5 to 7 points.

The Pittsburgh defense hasn't been as stout against the run this season, and I expect Washington's top-ranked running attack (179.3 ypg) to be a problem. The Steelers 0-3 this season when giving up 94.0 yards or more on the ground.

Washington is on a 14-2 ATS run in road games after gaining 175 or more rushing yards in its last game. Take the points.


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