3* Sunday NFC *BEST BET* on Seahawks +2.5

3* Sunday NFC *BEST BET* on Seahawks +2.5

Seattle vs. Detroit, 10/28/2012 13:00 EDT, Score: 24 - 28

Point Spread: +2½/-110 Seattle

Sportsbook: BookMaker

Result: Loss

3* Sunday NFC *BEST BET* on Seahawks +2.5
The Lions are at a disadvantage playing on short week versus a Seattle team that hasn't played since Oct. 18.

The Seahawks haven't lost consecutive games all season, and I don't expect them to start now as they go up against a Detroit team they have defeated 3 straight times.

The Seahawks have been a much better investment than Detroit lately as they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall while the Lions are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall. Any time the Seahawks are catching points they are worth a look as they are 14-4 ATS as an underdog since the beginning of last season.

In addition, plays on road underdogs or pickems in conference games following a road loss are 126-74 ATS the last 10 seasons. This system is a perfect 4-0 ATS this season.

It is also worth noting that plays on road underdogs or pickems in a game involving two average teams that have a +/- 3.0 ppg differential, provided the "play on" side scored and allowed 14 points or less last game, are 31-9 ATS since 1983. This rare situation is a perfect 4-0 ATS the last 5 seasons.

We've seen the Lions struggle against good defensive teams like San Francisco and Chicago, and I expect those struggles to continue against a Seattle stop unit that ranks 3rd in scoring defense (15.1 ppg allowed) and 5th in total defense (297.3 ypg allowed).

The Seahawks have gotten the job done against the best of offenses recently. They are 7-0 ATS since the beginning of last season versus teams that average 235 passing yards or more per game and have defeated these foes by an average score of 24.3 to 20.6. They are also 7-0 ATS since the beginning of last season versus team that average 5.65 yards or more per play, defeating these teams by an average score of 22.0 to 20.0.

It should also be mentioned that Seattle is 8-0 ATS dating back to the start of last season in all games when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. It has won these by an average score of 21.8 to 15.8. Bet Seattle.


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