RV: 5* EARLY 24-2 NFL POWER SYSTEM NFL 10-2 RUN
Baltimore vs. Houston,
10/21/2012 13:00 EDT,
Score: 13 - 43
Point Spread: +8/-130 Baltimore
On Sunday the AFC Play is on Baltimore. Game 421 at 1:00 eastern. No, We did not lose our minds. We are aware Baltimore is without 2 defensive starters including Ray Lewis. However this is more than built into the line today. The Ravens are getting 7 here and we have a solid system that has cashed every time and pertains to teams like Houston un week 6 or later that are -7 or less and off their first loss. There are a few more parameters to this one, just as there were last week when this one was in play with Arizona in this same spot in their loss to Buffalo. Houston is 1-8 ats in weeks 5-9 at home and has lost and failed to cover in all 3 here in the series. Baltimore will have the advantage of shock value in their first game without Lewis. They have covered 7 of 10 on the road with a total of 45.5 to 49 and are 8-2 straight up in weeks 5-9, including 7-0 ats off a win vs an opponent off a favored loss. Coach Harbaugh is 5-1 to the spread as a dog vs an opponent off a loss. Green Bay exposed a Houston weakness in pass defense something Flacco will surely take advantage of. As we saw last week with the Niners and Giants, just because one team has playoff revenge it does not mean they will win and cover. Take the points in this one.